Agnosticism: A Bayesian Approach
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There used to be an article on the Cornell University web site entitled Atheism - A Bayesian Approach. Given that the paper concluded with: " ...the question of whether a universe with life implies a divine designer --- possibly an unknowable," I always felt that it had been mistitled.
The paper is no longer available through the Cornell site, presumably because the author graduated. For those mathematically inclined, I have retrieved it from a web archive site and made it available here.